Model line
Gonzaga −16.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 96%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Gonzaga a 16.7-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
