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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

San Diego St. · #73 · P12 · 0–0Oregon St. · #93 · P12 · 0–0Wed, Jan 6 · 10:00 PM ETGill Coliseum · Corvallis, OR
Model line
Oregon St. −4.8
Win probability
Oregon St. 69%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
31%Win probability69%

The model makes Oregon St. a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

San Diego St. offense vs Oregon St. defense

San Diego St. OStatOregon St. D
69.2#136Tempo#28666.2
52.7#117eFG%#11850.3
17.2#220TOV%#26815.3
29.5#220ORB%#26332.1
39.0#81FT rate#18035.1
6.2#4Block%#10410.7
54.4#130Assist%#27255.7
53.2#1222P%#14251.0
34.5#1503P%#11532.9
73.0#171FT%—
33.8#3013PA rate#10941.5

Oregon St. offense vs San Diego St. defense

Oregon St. OStatSan Diego St. D
66.2#286Tempo#13669.2
50.5#216eFG%#4248.2
17.7#252TOV%#1920.3
26.8#304ORB%#20931.1
43.1#21FT rate#27438.5
9.3#165Block%#815.3
61.2#23Assist%#32358.2
48.8#2882P%#1846.2
35.0#1203P%#16233.6
77.2#30FT%—
44.3#853PA rate#1247.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

San Diego St.

Sat, Mar 14NUtah St.56L 62–73
Fri, Mar 13NNew Mexico66W 64–62
Thu, Mar 12NColorado St.83W 71–62
Fri, Mar 6HUNLV89W 89–86
Tue, Mar 3ABoise St.71L 77–86

Oregon St.

Mon, Mar 9NGonzaga17L 56–65
Sun, Mar 8NSan Francisco165W 78–77
Sat, Feb 28ASanta Clara86L 72–93
Wed, Feb 25HSan Diego157W 92–82
Sat, Feb 21HPepperdine154W 83–73