Model line
Fresno St. −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Fresno St. a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Washington St. O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#156 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 54.7#51 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 18.4#294 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 29.5#222 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 30.2#306 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 9.6#205 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 51.6#204 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 54.6#70 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 36.5#40 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 74.5#104 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#74 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
| Fresno St. O | Stat | Washington St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #15668.9 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #24852.6 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #31714.6 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #7728.2 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #13333.0 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2807.7 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #9349.2 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #21952.4 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #27535.4 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #27236.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Portland181 | L 68–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pepperdine154 | L 79–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | L 66–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Saint Mary's74 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Pacific141 | W 87–70 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |