Model line
Tulsa −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 73%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Tulsa home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Tulsa a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs Tulsa defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Tulsa offense vs South Florida defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
