Model line
Memphis −17.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 97%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Memphis home
4%Win probability97%
The model makes Memphis a 17.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Carolina offense vs Memphis defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs East Carolina defense
| Memphis O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
