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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Carolina · #185 · Amer · 0–0Charlotte · #112 · Amer · 0–0Sun, Mar 7 · 2:00 PM ETHalton Arena · Charlotte, NC
Model line
Charlotte −13.0
Win probability
Charlotte 91%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Charlotte home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Charlotte a 13.0-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Carolina offense vs Charlotte defense

East Carolina OStatCharlotte D
69.2#132Tempo#34564.4
46.4#346eFG%#14950.9
17.1#208TOV%#34413.6
33.4#81ORB%#28032.5
39.2#74FT rate#21336.2
8.1#64Block%#13410.0
47.3#298Assist%#14751.1
47.5#3222P%#15851.4
29.3#3503P%#15333.5
70.0#273FT%—
31.1#3373PA rate#13440.7

Charlotte offense vs East Carolina defense

Charlotte OStatEast Carolina D
64.4#345Tempo#13269.2
53.4#86eFG%#22952.3
18.1#275TOV%#20916.2
33.9#68ORB%#28132.5
36.4#141FT rate#10932.2
9.5#182Block%#9910.7
51.8#194Assist%#24254.6
53.8#892P%#20752.2
35.2#1043P%#23934.9
71.6#216FT%—
45.4#583PA rate#20838.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Carolina

Sun, Mar 8AUAB124L 83–90
Thu, Mar 5HTulsa104L 66–93
Sun, Mar 1HMemphis84W 84–68
Wed, Feb 25AUTSA245W 82–81
Sat, Feb 21ACharlotte112L 56–68

Charlotte

Sat, Mar 14NSouth Florida92L 64–86
Fri, Mar 13NUAB124W 83–78
Thu, Mar 12NTulane153W 74–60
Sun, Mar 8ASouth Florida92L 60–83
Wed, Mar 4HUAB124L 74–80