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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida Atlantic · #118 · Amer · 0–0South Florida · #92 · Amer · 0–0Thu, Mar 4 · 9:00 PM ETYuengling Center · Tampa, FL
Model line
South Florida −10.7
Win probability
South Florida 87%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
South Florida home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes South Florida a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida Atlantic offense vs South Florida defense

Florida Atlantic OStatSouth Florida D
70.2#85Tempo#1273.0
52.2#137eFG%#6048.8
17.6#244TOV%#4619.1
31.6#139ORB%#25231.9
33.3#229FT rate#28839.1
7.5#29Block%#9510.9
47.1#299Assist%#16151.6
53.6#1022P%#2646.9
33.3#2083P%#21934.5
70.3#263FT%—
38.2#2073PA rate#17439.7

South Florida offense vs Florida Atlantic defense

South Florida OStatFlorida Atlantic D
73.0#12Tempo#8570.2
50.6#211eFG%#8349.5
15.1#72TOV%#25015.5
38.1#8ORB%#8128.3
40.4#55FT rate#21436.2
13.1#357Block%#2013.5
58.4#53Assist%#3446.2
52.0#1682P%#5848.8
32.5#2563P%#16933.8
74.6#100FT%—
43.8#963PA rate#31135.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida Atlantic

Thu, Mar 12NNorth Texas114L 70–74
Wed, Mar 11NTemple122W 63–59
Sat, Mar 7AWichita St.80L 70–88
Sun, Mar 1HCharlotte112W 77–76
Thu, Feb 26HTemple122W 77–73

South Florida

Thu, Mar 19NLouisville15L 79–83
Sun, Mar 15NWichita St.80W 70–55
Sat, Mar 14NCharlotte112W 86–64
Sun, Mar 8HCharlotte112W 83–60
Thu, Mar 5AMemphis84W 96–89