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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UTSA · #245 · Amer · 0–0UAB · #124 · Amer · 0–0Thu, Mar 4 · 9:00 PM ETBartow Arena · Birmingham, AL
Model line
UAB −14.3
Win probability
UAB 93%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
UAB home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes UAB a 14.3-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UTSA offense vs UAB defense

UTSA OStatUAB D
69.6#112Tempo#8370.3
44.8#360eFG%#10250.0
17.5#238TOV%#22216.1
30.2#193ORB%#5727.7
29.5#321FT rate#3828.7
13.1#358Block%#1739.4
42.8#351Assist%#12250.3
45.5#3532P%#12650.7
29.2#3513P%#9432.6
69.8#276FT%—
41.3#1443PA rate#19339.2

UAB offense vs UTSA defense

UAB OStatUTSA D
70.3#83Tempo#11269.6
48.4#305eFG%#27853.3
12.5#2TOV%#31214.7
32.5#108ORB%#36338.7
36.4#143FT rate#13633.3
9.7#214Block%#5411.9
50.3#236Assist%#28156.0
51.3#2022P%#27153.8
27.8#3643P%#25335.1
70.6#252FT%—
30.5#3503PA rate#5943.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UTSA

Sun, Mar 8ARice235L 71–80
Sun, Mar 1HWichita St.80L 67–84
Wed, Feb 25HEast Carolina185L 81–82
Sun, Feb 22ATulsa104L 74–100
Wed, Feb 18HFlorida Atlantic118L 52–60

UAB

Fri, Mar 13NCharlotte112L 78–83
Sun, Mar 8HEast Carolina185W 90–83
Wed, Mar 4ACharlotte112W 80–74
Sun, Mar 1HNorth Texas114L 58–62
Sun, Feb 22AMemphis84W 78–67