Model line
East Carolina −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 57%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes East Carolina a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs East Carolina defense
| North Texas O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs North Texas defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
