Model line
Memphis −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 80%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Memphis home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Memphis a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs Memphis defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs South Florida defense
| Memphis O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
