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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tulsa · #104 · Amer · 0–0UAB · #124 · Amer · 0–0Sun, Feb 28 · 4:00 PM ETBartow Arena · Birmingham, AL
Model line
UAB −5.4
Win probability
UAB 72%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
UAB home
28%Win probability72%

The model makes UAB a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tulsa offense vs UAB defense

Tulsa OStatUAB D
68.6#167Tempo#8370.3
56.0#23eFG%#10250.0
15.3#91TOV%#22216.1
32.7#98ORB%#5727.7
41.6#38FT rate#3828.7
10.0#243Block%#1739.4
55.6#99Assist%#12250.3
53.9#882P%#12650.7
39.0#53P%#9432.6
78.3#14FT%—
46.6#363PA rate#19339.2

UAB offense vs Tulsa defense

UAB OStatTulsa D
70.3#83Tempo#16768.6
48.4#305eFG%#10150.0
12.5#2TOV%#24815.6
32.5#108ORB%#11729.1
36.4#143FT rate#9831.6
9.7#214Block%#3266.6
50.3#236Assist%#9849.3
51.3#2022P%#9649.9
27.8#3643P%#14833.4
70.6#252FT%—
30.5#3503PA rate#15440.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tulsa

Sun, Apr 5NAuburn27L 86–92
Thu, Apr 2NNew Mexico66W 74–69
Tue, Mar 24HWichita St.80W 83–79
Sun, Mar 22HUNLV89W 77–66
Tue, Mar 17HStephen F. Austin139W 89–84

UAB

Fri, Mar 13NCharlotte112L 78–83
Sun, Mar 8HEast Carolina185W 90–83
Wed, Mar 4ACharlotte112W 80–74
Sun, Mar 1HNorth Texas114L 58–62
Sun, Feb 22AMemphis84W 78–67