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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tulsa · #104 · Amer · 0–0Memphis · #84 · Amer · 0–0Thu, Feb 25 · 6:00 PM ETFedExForum · Memphis, TN
Model line
Memphis −9.7
Win probability
Memphis 85%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Memphis home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes Memphis a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tulsa offense vs Memphis defense

Tulsa OStatMemphis D
68.6#167Tempo#3571.4
56.0#23eFG%#5448.7
15.3#91TOV%#7318.5
32.7#98ORB%#35035.6
41.6#38FT rate#32942.4
10.0#243Block%#3212.7
55.6#99Assist%#24454.7
53.9#882P%#13751.0
39.0#53P%#2330.5
78.3#14FT%—
46.6#363PA rate#6343.2

Memphis offense vs Tulsa defense

Memphis OStatTulsa D
71.4#35Tempo#16768.6
48.7#296eFG%#10150.0
18.9#318TOV%#24815.6
35.3#41ORB%#11729.1
34.7#191FT rate#9831.6
10.4#267Block%#3266.6
49.8#245Assist%#9849.3
49.4#2742P%#9649.9
31.6#3013P%#14833.4
72.1#205FT%—
33.7#3033PA rate#15440.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tulsa

Sun, Apr 5NAuburn27L 86–92
Thu, Apr 2NNew Mexico66W 74–69
Tue, Mar 24HWichita St.80W 83–79
Sun, Mar 22HUNLV89W 77–66
Tue, Mar 17HStephen F. Austin139W 89–84

Memphis

Wed, Mar 11NTulane153L 69–81
Sun, Mar 8ATulane153W 96–95
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Florida92L 89–96
Sun, Mar 1AEast Carolina185L 68–84
Thu, Feb 26HWichita St.80L 82–88