Model line
South Florida −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Florida 86%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
South Florida home
15%Win probability86%
The model makes South Florida a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs South Florida defense
| North Texas O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
South Florida offense vs North Texas defense
| South Florida O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
