Model line
UTSA −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UTSA 66%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UTSA home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes UTSA a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Carolina offense vs UTSA defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs East Carolina defense
| UTSA O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
