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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Memphis · #84 · Amer · 0–0North Texas · #114 · Amer · 0–0Wed, Feb 17 · 8:00 PM ETThe Super Pit · Denton, TX
Model line
North Texas −4.2
Win probability
North Texas 67%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
North Texas home
33%Win probability67%

The model makes North Texas a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Memphis offense vs North Texas defense

Memphis OStatNorth Texas D
71.4#35Tempo#29766.0
48.7#296eFG%#4748.4
18.9#318TOV%#821.3
35.3#41ORB%#27832.4
34.7#191FT rate#34945.1
10.4#267Block%#2213.2
49.8#245Assist%#10149.4
49.4#2742P%#9249.8
31.6#3013P%#3230.9
72.1#205FT%—
33.7#3033PA rate#21438.6

North Texas offense vs Memphis defense

North Texas OStatMemphis D
66.0#297Tempo#3571.4
46.0#349eFG%#5448.7
16.7#177TOV%#7318.5
33.5#79ORB%#35035.6
39.6#66FT rate#32942.4
11.2#315Block%#3212.7
50.5#232Assist%#24454.7
47.4#3292P%#13751.0
28.7#3583P%#2330.5
70.0#275FT%—
32.3#3253PA rate#6343.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Memphis

Wed, Mar 11NTulane153L 69–81
Sun, Mar 8ATulane153W 96–95
Thu, Mar 5HSouth Florida92L 89–96
Sun, Mar 1AEast Carolina185L 68–84
Thu, Feb 26HWichita St.80L 82–88

North Texas

Fri, Mar 13NTulsa104L 84–90
Thu, Mar 12NFlorida Atlantic118W 74–70
Wed, Mar 4HRice235W 62–58
Sun, Mar 1AUAB124W 62–58
Wed, Feb 25ACharlotte112L 79–80