Model line
Tulsa −7.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 79%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Tulsa home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Tulsa a 7.8-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs Tulsa defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Tulsa offense vs North Texas defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
