Model line
East Carolina −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 51%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
50%Win probability51%
The model makes East Carolina a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs East Carolina defense
| South Florida O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs South Florida defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
