Model line
Memphis −12.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 91%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Memphis home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Memphis a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UAB offense vs Memphis defense
| UAB O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#83 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 48.4#305 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 12.5#2 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 32.5#108 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 36.4#143 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 9.7#214 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 50.3#236 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 51.3#202 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 27.8#364 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 70.6#252 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#350 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs UAB defense
| Memphis O | Stat | UAB D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #8370.3 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #10250.0 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #22216.1 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #5727.7 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #3828.7 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #1739.4 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #12250.3 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #12650.7 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #9432.6 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #19339.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UAB
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Charlotte112 | L 78–83 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | East Carolina185 | W 90–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Charlotte112 | W 80–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Memphis84 | W 78–67 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
