Model line
Charlotte −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Charlotte 72%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Charlotte home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Charlotte a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs Charlotte defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Charlotte D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #34564.4 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #14950.9 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #34413.6 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #28032.5 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #21336.2 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #13410.0 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #14751.1 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #15851.4 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #15333.5 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #13440.7 |
Charlotte offense vs South Florida defense
| Charlotte O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#345 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 53.4#86 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 18.1#275 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 33.9#68 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 36.4#141 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 9.5#182 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 51.8#194 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 53.8#89 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 35.2#104 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 71.6#216 | FT% | — |
| 45.4#58 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
Charlotte
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | South Florida92 | L 64–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UAB124 | W 83–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Tulane153 | W 74–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | South Florida92 | L 60–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | UAB124 | L 74–80 |
