Model line
Rice −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rice 66%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Rice home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Rice a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Carolina offense vs Rice defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Rice offense vs East Carolina defense
| Rice O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
