HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tulsa · #104 · Amer · 0–0North Texas · #114 · Amer · 0–0Sun, Jan 31 · 4:00 PM ETThe Super Pit · Denton, TX
Model line
North Texas −6.3
Win probability
North Texas 75%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
North Texas home
25%Win probability75%

The model makes North Texas a 6.3-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tulsa offense vs North Texas defense

Tulsa OStatNorth Texas D
68.6#167Tempo#29766.0
56.0#23eFG%#4748.4
15.3#91TOV%#821.3
32.7#98ORB%#27832.4
41.6#38FT rate#34945.1
10.0#243Block%#2213.2
55.6#99Assist%#10149.4
53.9#882P%#9249.8
39.0#53P%#3230.9
78.3#14FT%—
46.6#363PA rate#21438.6

North Texas offense vs Tulsa defense

North Texas OStatTulsa D
66.0#297Tempo#16768.6
46.0#349eFG%#10150.0
16.7#177TOV%#24815.6
33.5#79ORB%#11729.1
39.6#66FT rate#9831.6
11.2#315Block%#3266.6
50.5#232Assist%#9849.3
47.4#3292P%#9649.9
28.7#3583P%#14833.4
70.0#275FT%—
32.3#3253PA rate#15440.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tulsa

Sun, Apr 5NAuburn27L 86–92
Thu, Apr 2NNew Mexico66W 74–69
Tue, Mar 24HWichita St.80W 83–79
Sun, Mar 22HUNLV89W 77–66
Tue, Mar 17HStephen F. Austin139W 89–84

North Texas

Fri, Mar 13NTulsa104L 84–90
Thu, Mar 12NFlorida Atlantic118W 74–70
Wed, Mar 4HRice235W 62–58
Sun, Mar 1AUAB124W 62–58
Wed, Feb 25ACharlotte112L 79–80