Model line
North Texas −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas 54%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
UTSA home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes North Texas a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs UTSA defense
| North Texas O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs North Texas defense
| UTSA O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
