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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida Atlantic · #118 · Amer · 0–0East Carolina · #185 · Amer · 0–0Thu, Jan 28 · 7:00 PM ETWilliams Arena at Minges Coliseum · Greenville, NC
Model line
East Carolina −1.8
Win probability
East Carolina 58%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
42%Win probability58%

The model makes East Carolina a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida Atlantic offense vs East Carolina defense

Florida Atlantic OStatEast Carolina D
70.2#85Tempo#13269.2
52.2#137eFG%#22952.3
17.6#244TOV%#20916.2
31.6#139ORB%#28132.5
33.3#229FT rate#10932.2
7.5#29Block%#9910.7
47.1#299Assist%#24254.6
53.6#1022P%#20752.2
33.3#2083P%#23934.9
70.3#263FT%—
38.2#2073PA rate#20838.8

East Carolina offense vs Florida Atlantic defense

East Carolina OStatFlorida Atlantic D
69.2#132Tempo#8570.2
46.4#346eFG%#8349.5
17.1#208TOV%#25015.5
33.4#81ORB%#8128.3
39.2#74FT rate#21436.2
8.1#64Block%#2013.5
47.3#298Assist%#3446.2
47.5#3222P%#5848.8
29.3#3503P%#16933.8
70.0#273FT%—
31.1#3373PA rate#31135.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida Atlantic

Thu, Mar 12NNorth Texas114L 70–74
Wed, Mar 11NTemple122W 63–59
Sat, Mar 7AWichita St.80L 70–88
Sun, Mar 1HCharlotte112W 77–76
Thu, Feb 26HTemple122W 77–73

East Carolina

Sun, Mar 8AUAB124L 83–90
Thu, Mar 5HTulsa104L 66–93
Sun, Mar 1HMemphis84W 84–68
Wed, Feb 25AUTSA245W 82–81
Sat, Feb 21ACharlotte112L 56–68