Model line
South Florida −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Florida 70%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
UTSA home
70%Win probability30%
The model makes South Florida a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs UTSA defense
| South Florida O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs South Florida defense
| UTSA O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
