Model line
Memphis −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 88%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Memphis home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Memphis a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs Memphis defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs North Texas defense
| Memphis O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
