Model line
East Carolina −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 59%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes East Carolina a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UAB offense vs East Carolina defense
| UAB O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#83 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 48.4#305 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 12.5#2 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 32.5#108 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 36.4#143 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 9.7#214 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 50.3#236 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 51.3#202 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 27.8#364 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 70.6#252 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#350 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs UAB defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | UAB D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #8370.3 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #10250.0 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #22216.1 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #5727.7 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #3828.7 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #1739.4 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #12250.3 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #12650.7 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #9432.6 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #19339.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UAB
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Charlotte112 | L 78–83 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | East Carolina185 | W 90–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Charlotte112 | W 80–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Memphis84 | W 78–67 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
