Model line
Rice −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rice 78%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Rice home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Rice a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UTSA offense vs Rice defense
| UTSA O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Rice offense vs UTSA defense
| Rice O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
