Model line
Charlotte −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Charlotte 73%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Charlotte home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Charlotte a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Memphis offense vs Charlotte defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Charlotte D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #34564.4 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #14950.9 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #34413.6 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #28032.5 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #21336.2 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #13410.0 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #14751.1 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #15851.4 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #15333.5 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #13440.7 |
Charlotte offense vs Memphis defense
| Charlotte O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#345 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 53.4#86 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 18.1#275 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 33.9#68 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 36.4#141 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 9.5#182 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 51.8#194 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 53.8#89 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 35.2#104 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 71.6#216 | FT% | — |
| 45.4#58 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
Charlotte
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | South Florida92 | L 64–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UAB124 | W 83–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Tulane153 | W 74–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | South Florida92 | L 60–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | UAB124 | L 74–80 |
