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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Carolina · #185 · Amer · 0–0Tulsa · #104 · Amer · 0–0Thu, Jan 14 · 8:00 PM ETReynolds Center · Tulsa, OK
Model line
Tulsa −12.8
Win probability
Tulsa 91%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Tulsa home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Tulsa a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Carolina offense vs Tulsa defense

East Carolina OStatTulsa D
69.2#132Tempo#16768.6
46.4#346eFG%#10150.0
17.1#208TOV%#24815.6
33.4#81ORB%#11729.1
39.2#74FT rate#9831.6
8.1#64Block%#3266.6
47.3#298Assist%#9849.3
47.5#3222P%#9649.9
29.3#3503P%#14833.4
70.0#273FT%—
31.1#3373PA rate#15440.3

Tulsa offense vs East Carolina defense

Tulsa OStatEast Carolina D
68.6#167Tempo#13269.2
56.0#23eFG%#22952.3
15.3#91TOV%#20916.2
32.7#98ORB%#28132.5
41.6#38FT rate#10932.2
10.0#243Block%#9910.7
55.6#99Assist%#24254.6
53.9#882P%#20752.2
39.0#53P%#23934.9
78.3#14FT%—
46.6#363PA rate#20838.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Carolina

Sun, Mar 8AUAB124L 83–90
Thu, Mar 5HTulsa104L 66–93
Sun, Mar 1HMemphis84W 84–68
Wed, Feb 25AUTSA245W 82–81
Sat, Feb 21ACharlotte112L 56–68

Tulsa

Sun, Apr 5NAuburn27L 86–92
Thu, Apr 2NNew Mexico66W 74–69
Tue, Mar 24HWichita St.80W 83–79
Sun, Mar 22HUNLV89W 77–66
Tue, Mar 17HStephen F. Austin139W 89–84