Model line
North Texas −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Texas 56%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Rice home
56%Win probability44%
The model makes North Texas a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs Rice defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Rice offense vs North Texas defense
| Rice O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
