Model line
Tulsa −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 61%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UTSA home
61%Win probability39%
The model makes Tulsa a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tulsa offense vs UTSA defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
UTSA offense vs Tulsa defense
| UTSA O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
