Model line
Memphis −21.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Memphis home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Memphis a 21.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rice offense vs Memphis defense
| Rice O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs Rice defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
