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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida Atlantic · #118 · Amer · 0–0North Texas · #114 · Amer · 0–0Wed, Jan 6 · 8:00 PM ETThe Super Pit · Denton, TX
Model line
North Texas −7.5
Win probability
North Texas 78%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
North Texas home
22%Win probability78%

The model makes North Texas a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida Atlantic offense vs North Texas defense

Florida Atlantic OStatNorth Texas D
70.2#85Tempo#29766.0
52.2#137eFG%#4748.4
17.6#244TOV%#821.3
31.6#139ORB%#27832.4
33.3#229FT rate#34945.1
7.5#29Block%#2213.2
47.1#299Assist%#10149.4
53.6#1022P%#9249.8
33.3#2083P%#3230.9
70.3#263FT%—
38.2#2073PA rate#21438.6

North Texas offense vs Florida Atlantic defense

North Texas OStatFlorida Atlantic D
66.0#297Tempo#8570.2
46.0#349eFG%#8349.5
16.7#177TOV%#25015.5
33.5#79ORB%#8128.3
39.6#66FT rate#21436.2
11.2#315Block%#2013.5
50.5#232Assist%#3446.2
47.4#3292P%#5848.8
28.7#3583P%#16933.8
70.0#275FT%—
32.3#3253PA rate#31135.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida Atlantic

Thu, Mar 12NNorth Texas114L 70–74
Wed, Mar 11NTemple122W 63–59
Sat, Mar 7AWichita St.80L 70–88
Sun, Mar 1HCharlotte112W 77–76
Thu, Feb 26HTemple122W 77–73

North Texas

Fri, Mar 13NTulsa104L 84–90
Thu, Mar 12NFlorida Atlantic118W 74–70
Wed, Mar 4HRice235W 62–58
Sun, Mar 1AUAB124W 62–58
Wed, Feb 25ACharlotte112L 79–80