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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Carolina · #185 · Amer · 0–0UAB · #124 · Amer · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 4:00 PM ETBartow Arena · Birmingham, AL
Model line
UAB −11.2
Win probability
UAB 88%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UAB home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes UAB a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Carolina offense vs UAB defense

East Carolina OStatUAB D
69.2#132Tempo#8370.3
46.4#346eFG%#10250.0
17.1#208TOV%#22216.1
33.4#81ORB%#5727.7
39.2#74FT rate#3828.7
8.1#64Block%#1739.4
47.3#298Assist%#12250.3
47.5#3222P%#12650.7
29.3#3503P%#9432.6
70.0#273FT%—
31.1#3373PA rate#19339.2

UAB offense vs East Carolina defense

UAB OStatEast Carolina D
70.3#83Tempo#13269.2
48.4#305eFG%#22952.3
12.5#2TOV%#20916.2
32.5#108ORB%#28132.5
36.4#143FT rate#10932.2
9.7#214Block%#9910.7
50.3#236Assist%#24254.6
51.3#2022P%#20752.2
27.8#3643P%#23934.9
70.6#252FT%—
30.5#3503PA rate#20838.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Carolina

Sun, Mar 8AUAB124L 83–90
Thu, Mar 5HTulsa104L 66–93
Sun, Mar 1HMemphis84W 84–68
Wed, Feb 25AUTSA245W 82–81
Sat, Feb 21ACharlotte112L 56–68

UAB

Fri, Mar 13NCharlotte112L 78–83
Sun, Mar 8HEast Carolina185W 90–83
Wed, Mar 4ACharlotte112W 80–74
Sun, Mar 1HNorth Texas114L 58–62
Sun, Feb 22AMemphis84W 78–67