Model line
Belmont −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 60%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Belmont a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Bonaventure offense vs Belmont defense
| St. Bonaventure O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#224 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 52.4#129 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 16.8#187 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 34.5#60 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 30.0#311 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 8.0#59 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 55.2#111 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 50.8#221 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 37.4#22 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 74.7#96 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#335 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs St. Bonaventure defense
| Belmont O | Stat | St. Bonaventure D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #22467.5 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #27753.3 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #14717.1 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #15029.8 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #15033.9 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #2513.1 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #27855.9 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #22952.8 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #30636.0 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #13740.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Bonaventure
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Dayton67 | L 63–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | George Mason98 | W 63–57 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | La Salle168 | W 99–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Davidson121 | L 63–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | George Washington103 | L 82–91 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
