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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Iowa · #129 · MVC · 0–0UC Irvine · #109 · BW · 0–0Fri, Dec 11 · 10:00 PM ETESPN+Bren Events Center · Irvine, CA
Model line
UC Irvine −9.8
Win probability
UC Irvine 85%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
UC Irvine home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes UC Irvine a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Iowa offense vs UC Irvine defense

Northern Iowa OStatUC Irvine D
63.4#362Tempo#6370.8
53.8#74eFG%#1145.9
14.4#39TOV%#5918.8
21.8#358ORB%#21231.2
25.6#362FT rate#1926.7
8.3#80Block%#1114.9
56.6#77Assist%#24954.8
54.9#612P%#143.1
34.7#1393P%#16833.7
69.2#293FT%—
39.1#1893PA rate#23638.0

UC Irvine offense vs Northern Iowa defense

UC Irvine OStatNorthern Iowa D
70.8#63Tempo#36263.4
49.5#270eFG%#3347.5
17.8#263TOV%#9718.0
31.0#166ORB%#2526.5
35.9#159FT rate#5229.6
9.1#153Block%#1519.8
55.1#113Assist%#9249.2
49.1#2812P%#10750.2
33.6#1943P%#329.1
69.7#280FT%—
28.0#3603PA rate#9941.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Iowa

Fri, Mar 20NSt. John's25L 53–79
Sun, Mar 8NIllinois Chicago105W 84–69
Sat, Mar 7NBradley183W 73–69
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois St.116W 74–52
Thu, Mar 5NEvansville273W 68–59

UC Irvine

Tue, Mar 17HUNLV89L 72–75
Sat, Mar 14NHawaii132L 64–71
Fri, Mar 13NCal St. Northridge190W 93–78
Sat, Mar 7HUC Davis188W 79–69
Thu, Mar 5HCal Poly159W 107–85