Model line
UC Irvine −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes UC Irvine a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | UC Irvine D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #6370.8 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #1145.9 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #5918.8 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #21231.2 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #1926.7 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #1114.9 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #24954.8 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #143.1 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #16833.7 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #23638.0 |
| UC Irvine O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#63 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 49.5#270 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 17.8#263 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 31.0#166 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 35.9#159 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 9.1#153 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 55.1#113 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 49.1#281 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 33.6#194 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 69.7#280 | FT% | — |
| 28.0#360 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNLV89 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Hawaii132 | L 64–71 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 93–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC Davis188 | W 79–69 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal Poly159 | W 107–85 |