Model line
Oakland −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oakland 61%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Oakland home
40%Win probability61%
The model makes Oakland a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Oakland defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Oakland D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #5071.1 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #32254.7 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #28015.1 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #32434.4 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #524.6 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #1539.8 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #36266.3 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #34257.0 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #20434.3 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #10541.7 |
Oakland offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Oakland O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#50 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 52.7#115 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 14.7#51 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 31.3#152 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 38.1#99 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 11.7#332 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 54.9#118 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 53.0#130 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 34.7#140 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 75.1#78 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#296 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Oakland
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Northern Kentucky217 | L 84–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Detroit Mercy277 | L 89–95 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | IU Indy311 | W 86–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 81–70 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Green Bay210 | L 68–73 |
