Model line
Northern Iowa −11.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 90%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Northern Iowa home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Green Bay offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Green Bay O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#336 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 54.9#42 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 16.0#138 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 25.1#338 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 41.6#36 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 9.3#162 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 54.5#126 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 55.0#56 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 36.4#42 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 77.5#24 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#224 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Northern Iowa offense vs Green Bay defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Green Bay D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #33664.7 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #28753.6 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #35113.2 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #14029.6 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #24837.4 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #2378.4 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #31057.8 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #23352.9 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #31636.3 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #5743.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Green Bay
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Kentucky217 | L 76–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Purdue Fort Wayne268 | W 64–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Youngstown St.248 | W 85–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Detroit Mercy277 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Oakland208 | W 73–68 |
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
