Model line
Illinois St. −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 88%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Illinois St. a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs Illinois St. defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
