Model line
Ball St. −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ball St. 87%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Ball St. home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Ball St. a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Ball St. defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Ball St. offense vs Evansville defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
