Model line
Western Kentucky −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Kentucky 63%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Evansville home
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Western Kentucky a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Kentucky offense vs Evansville defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
