Model line
Middle Tennessee −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 89%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Evansville defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
