Model line
Drake −2.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 59%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
59%Win probability41%
The model makes Drake a 2.3-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Drake offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| Drake O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
North Dakota St. offense vs Drake defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
