Model line
Drake −15.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 94%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Drake home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes Drake a 15.0-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs Drake defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs South Dakota defense
| Drake O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
