Model line
Drake −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 96%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Drake home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Drake a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Drake defense
| Southern O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Southern defense
| Drake O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
