Model line
Drake −21.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 99%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Drake home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Drake a 21.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina Central offense vs Drake defense
| North Carolina Central O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#257 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 47.5#327 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 18.1#280 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 30.0#200 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 39.3#72 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 12.4#346 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 52.7#172 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 46.7#334 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 32.6#251 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 73.8#141 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#298 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs North Carolina Central defense
| Drake O | Stat | North Carolina Central D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #25766.7 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #31654.5 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #2619.9 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #36439.4 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #23336.9 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #13710.0 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #32258.2 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #29654.5 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #32136.4 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #14240.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina Central
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Howard164 | L 63–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Delaware St.361 | W 59–53 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 83–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 64–80 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 77–73 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
