Model line
VCU −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
VCU 65%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
St. Bonaventure home
65%Win probability35%
The model makes VCU a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs St. Bonaventure defense
| VCU O | Stat | St. Bonaventure D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #22467.5 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #27753.3 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #14717.1 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #15029.8 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #15033.9 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #2513.1 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #27855.9 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #22952.8 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #30636.0 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #13740.7 |
St. Bonaventure offense vs VCU defense
| St. Bonaventure O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#224 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 52.4#129 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 16.8#187 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 34.5#60 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 30.0#311 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 8.0#59 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 55.2#111 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 50.8#221 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 37.4#22 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 74.7#96 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#335 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
St. Bonaventure
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Dayton67 | L 63–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | George Mason98 | W 63–57 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | La Salle168 | W 99–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Davidson121 | L 63–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | George Washington103 | L 82–91 |
