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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Richmond · #127 · A10 · 0–0George Mason · #98 · A10 · 0–0Wed, Dec 30 · 7:00 PM ETEagleBank Arena · Fairfax, VA
Model line
George Mason −10.0
Win probability
George Mason 85%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
George Mason home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes George Mason a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Richmond offense vs George Mason defense

Richmond OStatGeorge Mason D
68.5#173Tempo#33564.7
52.7#116eFG%#8449.5
14.3#33TOV%#26015.4
25.0#340ORB%#8228.3
36.9#134FT rate#4428.9
7.7#41Block%#1859.1
54.5#127Assist%#19752.9
50.5#2382P%#9850.0
37.1#273P%#9132.6
75.2#75FT%—
42.6#1253PA rate#8642.4

George Mason offense vs Richmond defense

George Mason OStatRichmond D
64.7#335Tempo#17368.5
52.7#113eFG%#21452.0
15.8#120TOV%#11517.7
31.3#149ORB%#20331.0
41.1#46FT rate#18135.1
9.8#220Block%#3027.3
49.9#243Assist%#7148.2
54.3#792P%#29954.5
33.3#2093P%#10232.7
72.5#188FT%—
35.2#2693PA rate#2645.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Richmond

Wed, Mar 11NLoyola Chicago151L 67–75
Sat, Mar 7ADuquesne128L 77–79
Tue, Mar 3HDayton67L 60–65
Sat, Feb 28ALoyola Chicago151L 66–69
Sat, Feb 21HSt. Bonaventure158W 99–94

George Mason

Tue, Mar 17HLiberty149L 71–77
Thu, Mar 12NSt. Bonaventure158L 57–63
Sat, Mar 7HSaint Louis60W 86–57
Tue, Mar 3AVCU53L 65–70
Sat, Feb 28HSt. Bonaventure158W 71–58