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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

La Salle · #168 · A10 · 0–0Dayton · #67 · A10 · 0–0Wed, Dec 30 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+UD Arena · Dayton, OH
Model line
Dayton −19.1
Win probability
Dayton 98%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Dayton home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes Dayton a 19.1-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

La Salle offense vs Dayton defense

La Salle OStatDayton D
66.4#278Tempo#21267.7
45.4#357eFG%#14450.8
18.2#284TOV%#1120.9
33.7#75ORB%#12029.2
37.5#114FT rate#18835.3
12.2#344Block%#5012.0
56.0#89Assist%#12750.6
45.6#3512P%#7049.3
30.0#3433P%#27035.4
72.5#191FT%—
31.5#3333PA rate#13040.9

Dayton offense vs La Salle defense

Dayton OStatLa Salle D
67.7#212Tempo#27866.4
52.2#135eFG%#33055.0
17.1#207TOV%#14017.1
26.9#301ORB%#27632.4
46.7#1FT rate#9631.5
11.5#327Block%#2677.8
59.4#39Assist%#34360.7
52.4#1512P%#31255.1
34.5#1493P%#32536.5
75.4#68FT%—
41.5#1413PA rate#9142.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

La Salle

Wed, Mar 11NSt. Bonaventure158L 80–99
Sat, Mar 7ASaint Joseph's125L 76–88
Wed, Mar 4HFordham111W 87–84
Sun, Mar 1ADavidson121L 64–71
Tue, Feb 24HGeorge Washington103L 77–104

Dayton

Wed, Mar 25HIllinois St.116L 55–61
Sat, Mar 21AUNC Wilmington107W 80–61
Wed, Mar 18ABradley183W 80–66
Sun, Mar 15NVCU53L 62–70
Sat, Mar 14NSaint Louis60W 70–69