Model line
Saint Louis −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 91%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Saint Louis home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Saint Louis a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
George Mason offense vs Saint Louis defense
| George Mason O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.7#335 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 52.7#113 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 15.8#120 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 31.3#149 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 41.1#46 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 9.8#220 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 49.9#243 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 54.3#79 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 33.3#209 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 72.5#188 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#269 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs George Mason defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | George Mason D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #33564.7 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #8449.5 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #26015.4 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #8228.3 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #4428.9 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #1859.1 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #19752.9 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #9850.0 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #9132.6 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #8642.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
George Mason
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Liberty149 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | St. Bonaventure158 | L 57–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Saint Louis60 | W 86–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | VCU53 | L 65–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 71–58 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
